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© 2004-10 Business Cycle Investor - Research, Forecast, Dow Jones, S&P 500, Corporate Profits, Asset Allocation, ETF, Index Funds, Stock Market Timing

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US Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis

Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System

National Bureau of Economic Research Indicators

United States Department of the Treasury

Business Cycles Dating Committee

LITERATURE ON: Business Cycles, Monetary Policy, Asset Prices - Theories, Models, Analysis, Research, Forecast

Business Cycles Theories - overview

Asset Allocation  |  Research  |  US Index Funds  |  Stock Market Timing  |  ETF |  Dow Jones DJIA  |  S&P 500

Business Cycle Investor

USA Corporate Profits & Dow Jones Forecast

  SUMMARY           
  RECOMMENDATION
  SUBSCRIBE        
  PERFORMANCE    
  METHODOLOGY   
  EDITOR PROFILE 
  RESOURCES       
  COMPLIANCE      
  CONTACT           

 Subscriber's Benefits

How

Profit from

market timing

(market picking)

The proprietary methodology aims to identify the more profitable periods of the broad USA stock market (the "In Periods") when the majority of stocks perform well and stock picking is less relevant.
 

Maximized returns

Reduced transaction costs by trading market index.

The "In the market Periods" are usually suitable for prudently leveraged positions.

 

Reduced risk

Investing in a broad market index carries less risk by reducing impact from individual companies problems.

The methodology also aims to identify less attractive "Out of the market Periods" historically characterized by 40% probability of a major stock market fall.
 

High liquidity and less exposed to market manipulation

The methodology promotes the use of DJIA and S&P500 - the most popular indexes trading in large volumes making them easy to liquidate in good or bad times and hard to manipulate.

 

Reality check

We will always remind our Subscribers that stock market is a rewarding but inherently risky game and the occasional winners will be found among those who survived the unpredictable turbulence.