PROFESSIONAL RESOURCES

Business Cycles, Monetary Policy, Asset Prices - Theories Models Research Analysis Forecast

Research Literature
National Bureau of Economic Research
Business Cycle academic research overview
Nobel Prize in Economics 2004:
Finn E. Kydland and Edward C. Prescott
Nobel Prize in Economics 2003:
Robert F. Engle III and Clive W.J. Granger

Global Asset Allocation and Business Cycles

U.S. Business Cycles drive Global Equities Asset Allocation Investment Strategy
Business Cycle Investor

Does Asset Allocation Policy Explain 40, 90, or 100 Percent of Performance? - Roger G. Ibbotson and Paul D.Kaplan
Determinants of Portfolio Performance II - An update. G.Brinson, B.Singer, G.Beebower
The endless search for macro policy solutions to business cycle - The Capital Spectator

USA Government Economic Data

US Department of Commerce Bureau of Economic Analysis
Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System
United States Department of the Treasury
National Bureau of Economic Research Economic Indicators
Business Cycles Dating Committee
Comparing NIPA Profits with S&P500 Profits
Energy Information Administration
FED of St Louis - Economic Research
USA Govt Total National Debt DEBTOUTD:IND
USA Federal Surplus/Deficit FDDSSD:IND
Recovery.gov - tracking 2009 stimulus package
USAspending.gov
Economic Highlights - Fed of Atlanta
Financial Highlights - Fed of Atlanta
IMF Publications
USDebtClock.org

Chicago Board Options Exchange

CBOE Products
Quotes - SPX DJX Index Options & LEAPS
VIX - CBOE SPX Volatility Index (measures cost of insurance against declines in S&P500)

USA Housing Market Data

National Association of Home Builders
National Association of Realtors
House Price Index & Graphs - major USA cities
US Exisiting Home Sales SAAR (in mil) ETSLTOTL:IND
US Property Values - S&P/Case-Shiller US SPCSUSAY:IND
US Median Sales Price - Existing Homes ETSLMP:IND
Home Prices - FHFA (financed by FRN, FNM)
Home Prices - all loans - LoanPerformance HPI
Home Prices - S&P Case-Shiller Composite 20
US Existing One Family Home Sales (mil ann.) EHSLSL:IND
US Building Permits (New Privately Owned Houses) NHSPSTOT:IND
Mortgage Bankers Rates - USA 30y MB30:IND
Foreclosures as % of Loans DLQTFORE:IND
Supply - US existing home sales - months needed to sell all houses on the market ETSLMSUP:IND
Mortgage Applications - Basic
Mortgage Refinance
Mortgage Applications Purchase Index
Mortgages % Overdue 30+ days
Mortgages % Overdue 90+ days & foreclosure
Mortgages % Foreclosure

Housing and Business Cycle: Edward Leamer
Home Builders Confidence
Present Single Family Home Sales
Buyers Traffic - Prospective

USA Commercial Real Estate Market Data

BBREIT Office Property Index BBREOFPY:IND
BBREIT Apartment Index
BBREAPT:IND

USA stock market & housing data sets from Prof Robert Shiller

USA stock market data since 1871 monthly
USA home prices & construction costs data since 1890 annually

Leading Economic Indicators - The Conference Board

Economic Indicators: Business Cycle, CEO Confidence, Consumer Confidence, Help Wanted Advertising, Help Wanted OnLine
Consumer Confidence graph CONCCONF:IND

Economic Activity Indicators

Institute for Supply Management
National Association of Credit Management
Baltic Dry Index - measure of commodity shipping costs BDIY:IND
ISM Manufacturing - Factory Index NAPMPMI:IND
Business Cycle Clock
US Unemployment SA USURTOT:IND
FRB Loan Officer Survey
Bloomberg Global Confidence Index
BPGCGI:IND
Bloomberg Financial Conditions Index BFCIUS:IND
US Durable Goods Orders
Consumer Sentiment - Europe
USA Social & Demographic Trends - maps
High yield company loans



Interest Rates and Stock Market

Interest Rates and USA Stock Market - 57 years history graph
An International Analysis of Earnings, Stock Prices and Bond Yields

Interest Rates data

Federal Funds Target Rate US FDTR:US
Federal Reserve US Primary Cre DISCPRIM:IND (FED rate for banks)
World Interest Rates - FX Street
Libor USD - cost of overnight borrowing US00O/N:IND
TED Spread - interest rates difference banks and 3 months Treasury Notes .TEDSP:IND
ICI Money Market Funds Assets MMFA:IND
US Commercial Paper DCPA001D:IND
3month US Treasuries USGG3M:IND
10y US Treasuries USGG10YR:IND
30y US bond yield USGG30Yr:IND
US YIELD CURVE 2"S VS 10"S .USYIELD:IND
TreasuryDirect

Reuters/Jefferies CRB IX (Commodities Prices) CRY:IND

Gold Price - Chart

Economic Calendar - FX Street

Economic Calendar - Bloomberg

Stock Market Analysis

USA stock market returns since 1826
Total Market Capitalization of World Stock Markets WCAUWRLD:IND
ThomsonReuters Financial Database
Frontline "Inside the Meltdown" video Feb 17 2009 - analysis of the financial crisis
Doug Short dshort.com comparative long term charts
The Financial Crisis – A Timeline of Events and Policy Actions
Frontline video: The Madoff Affair - unravelling the story behind the world's first global Ponzi scheme
Niall Ferguson - The ascent of money - video
Lehman's Fall Freezes Commercial Paper Market - Timeline
Frontline Video Oct 20 2009 -The Warning - Investigation of the roots of the global financial crisis; Brooksley Born
Crisis Coverage - Video Nov 17 2009
Adrian Blundell-Wignall: Fixing Finance (OECD) Video
Adrian Blundell-Wignall, Paul Atkinson: Origins of the financial crisis and requirements for reform
2009 12 31 Guide to 2010 investment outlooks
Warren Buffett discusses the 2008 Global Financial Crisis with Henk Paulson (ex Treasury Secretary) Feb 2, 2010

POPULAR KNOWLEDGE RESOURCES

Financial News & Stock Market Analysis

Bloomberg
Nightly Business Report
Wall Street Journal
Barron's
The New York Times
Value Line
Outstanding Investor Digest
Reuters
Datastream
Financial Times
Morningstar
Yahoo Finance
Google Finance
Barchart.com
StockCharts.com

Exchange Traded Funds (ETFs) and Stock Market Timing

Sector Rotation Model- Economic cycle V stock market cycle (Sam Stovall's S&P's Guide to Sector Rotation)
US Presidential Elections Cycles
Portfolio asset allocation with ETFs - business cycles stock market timing v stock picking
ETF exchange traded funds advantage
Yahoo Finance ETF Center
Amex  ETF Center
Bloomberg ETF Centre
Reuters - ETFs research
London Stock Exchange - ETFs
Morningstar ETF
Should you time the market?
Seeking Alpha - ETF Resources


USA Index ETF Fund:
Diamonds Trust (symbol DIA)

Yahoo Finance - price, chart, info
Bloomberg - price, chart, info

USA Index ETF Fund: SPDR Trust (symbol SPY)

Yahoo Finance - price, chart, info
Bloomberg - price, chart, info
Compare DJIA and S&P 500 - graph

Mutual Funds

Yahoo Finance Mutual Funds Center
Morningstar Funds Research
Barron's Mutual Funds Center
Bloomberg Mutual Funds Center
Reuters - Funds Research


Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA)

DJIA frequently asked questions
DJIA components
DJIA graph Yahoo
DJIA symbols

Standard & Poor's S&P 500

S&P 500 frequently asked questions
S&P 500 constituents
S&P 500 graph
S&P 500 graph Yahoo

Internet Trading Brokers (USA)

Ameritrade ph 800-669-3900
Charles Schwab ph 800-266-5623
E*Trade ph 800-387-2331
Fidelity ph 800-872-0711
Scottrade ph 800-619-7283
Performance of Investment Advisors
Amex Securities Broker/Dealer Index: XBD:IND

Investment Newsletters Directory

 

Asset Allocation  |  Research  |  US Index Funds  |  Stock Market Timing  |  ETF |  Dow Jones DJIA  |  S&P 500

Business Cycle Investor

USA Corporate Profits & Dow Jones Forecast

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© 2004-10 Business Cycle Investor - Research, Forecast, Dow Jones, S&P 500, Corporate Profits, Asset Allocation, ETF, Index Funds, Stock Market Timing

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