`Asset Allocation` | `Research` | `US Index Funds` | `Stock Market Timing` | `ETF` | Dow Jones DJIA | S&P 500

Business Cycle Investor

USA Corporate Profits & Dow Jones Forecast

NEWS

The Business Cycle Investor provides a forecast of the USA Corporate Profits major turning points that are strongly correlated with a broad direction of the U.S. stock market indexes: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and S&P500.

Subscriptions to the research are offered to a limited number of professional investors including Global Asset Allocators, Fund Managers and Proprietary Traders. Details of the specific investment strategies are available on request.

The methodology is based on a new proprietary business cycles research applied to a long range timing of the DJIA index. The investment model aims to improve chances of identifying the major (not all) more lucrative periods of the broad US stock market that are driven by macroeconomic fundamentals.

While the forecast is updated once per quarter, the turning points can be years apart so the Daytraders will not find it useful.

An average "In the market Period" from a buy to sell signal was 15 months long and achieved 27% ungeared profit excluding dividends, taxes and transaction costs:

Similar performance would be achieved by investing in the S&P500 index. The returns could be enhanced through a prudent use of financial leverage.

The methodology was validated over 55 years and the forecast published since 2004. An independent organization audits the performance since June 2005.

The recommendations are made public on this website after 12 months.

Purpose

The Business Cycle Investor Advisory Board aims to establish a new investment fund that will have an exclusive right to use the new business cycle and asset allocation model.

This website is a public performance record of the proprietary investment methodology in order to demonstrate its long term effectiveness and to attract experts with ideas on how to turn it into a product that should over time attract a large investment.

We are keen to hear from experts who have good track record in stock picking, assets allocation, sector rotation and forecasting various asset classes - especially Bonds and Property - as they often complement equity cycles and there is an opportunity to enhance the returns by joining forces.

In Period	1	2	3	4	5	6	7	8	9	10
Profit %	47.6%	8.3%	35.0%	24.8%	20.8%	29.6%	27.0%	7.6%	29.2%	39.1%

In Period	11	12	13	14						AVG
Profit %	51.9%	26.4%	29.6%	1.1%						27.0%

`Asset Allocation` | `Research` | `US Index Funds` | `Stock Market Timing` | `ETF` | Dow Jones DJIA | S&P 500

Business Cycle Investor

The Business Cycle Investor provides a forecast of the USA Corporate Profits major turning points that are strongly correlated with a broad direction of the U.S. stock market indexes: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and S&P500.

Subscriptions to the research are offered to a limited number of professional investors including Global Asset Allocators, Fund Managers and Proprietary Traders. Details of the specific investment strategies are available on request.

The methodology is based on a new proprietary business cycles research applied to a long range timing of the DJIA index. The investment model aims to improve chances of identifying the major (not all) more lucrative periods of the broad US stock market that are driven by macroeconomic fundamentals.

While the forecast is updated once per quarter, the turning points can be years apart so the Daytraders will not find it useful.

An average "In the market Period" from a buy to sell signal was 15 months long and achieved 27% ungeared profit excluding dividends, taxes and transaction costs:

Similar performance would be achieved by investing in the S&P500 index. The returns could be enhanced through a prudent use of financial leverage.

ETF Investor
Stock market timing with ETFs

Seeking Alpha writer

Stocks & Commodities Magazine Traders.com

Information Sources:

Portfolio asset allocation with ETFs - business cycles stock market timing v
stock picking

ETF exchange traded funds advantage

US business cycles drive global equities asset allocation strategy

investment newsletters directory

DIA price & chart

SPY price & chart

Asset Allocation | Research | US Index Funds | Stock Market Timing | ETF | Dow Jones DJIA | S&P 500

Business Cycle Investor

The Business Cycle Investor provides a forecast of the USA Corporate Profits major turning points that are strongly correlated with a broad direction of the U.S. stock market indexes: Dow Jones Industrial Average (DJIA) and S&P500.

Subscriptions to the research are offered to a limited number of professional investors including Global Asset Allocators, Fund Managers and Proprietary Traders. Details of the specific investment strategies are available on request.

The methodology is based on a new proprietary business cycles research applied to a long range timing of the DJIA index. The investment model aims to improve chances of identifying the major (not all) more lucrative periods of the broad US stock market that are driven by macroeconomic fundamentals.

While the forecast is updated once per quarter, the turning points can be years apart so the Daytraders will not find it useful.

An average "In the market Period" from a buy to sell signal was 15 months long and achieved 27% ungeared profit excluding dividends, taxes and transaction costs:

Similar performance would be achieved by investing in the S&P500 index. The returns could be enhanced through a prudent use of financial leverage.

Information Sources:

`Asset Allocation` | `Research` | `US Index Funds` | `Stock Market Timing` | `ETF` | Dow Jones DJIA | S&P 500